The Challenge & Limits of SDMs

  • Critical Challenge: Predicting species’ responses to global environmental change

  • Usual Tool: Species Distribution Models (SDMs).

  • Limitations of SDMs:

Improving the Forecast

What Traditional SDMs Do

DRMs: A Mechanistic Approach

Case Studies

Forecasts Visual Comparison

Environment-Dependent Demographic Rates

Concluding remarks

  • Summary: The drmr substantially lowers the barrier for ecologists to use the DRM in their applications.

  • Impact: A user-friendly tool which enables:

    • Testing which mechanistic hypotheses are more likely to drive species distributions changes;
    • Generate more robust ecological forecasts

  • Availability: drmr is open-source and will be available on GitHub once the review process is over.

Acknowledgments

References

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